This is the 13th post in the Bias Study Declinism is the belief that a society or institution is tending towards decline. Particularly, it is the predisposition, possibly due to cognitive bias, such as rosy retrospection, to view the past more favorably and future negatively. I can honestly say that this is something I struggle… Read More Bias Study: Declinism
Fun with Spreadsheets–said almost no one ever. If by chance you are a nerd like me who likes this kind of thing lets dive in. A matrix-think spreadsheet-is a grid with as many cells as required to sort data and gain insight. Matrices are helpful when there are more options or more intricate data than… Read More Analytic Technique: Matrices
This is a continuation of the Bias Study Groupthink is the practice of thinking or making decisions as a group in a way that discourages creativity or individual responsibility. Anyone who has worked in a medium to large organization has experienced this. Usually this is evidenced by an Illusion of invulnerability, a belief that the… Read More Bias Study: Group Think
If you search for this on Wikipedia, you’ll get re-directed to Confirmation bias. However the Backfire effect is the name for the effect when a person finds contradicting evidence and that makes them cling harder to the original belief. We’ve all seen this in people. I’d argue that you could employ a structured analytic technique… Read More Bias Study: The Backfire Effect
This is the eighth post in the Bias study. The Self Serving Bias is any cognitive or perceptual process that is distorted by the need to maintain and enhance self-esteem, or the tendency to perceive oneself in an overly favorable manner. In other words this is the thing where, when stuff goes right you did… Read More Bias Study: Self Serving Bias
This is the next article in the bias study. The Belief Bias is the tendency to judge the strength of arguments based on the plausibility of their conclusion, rather than how strongly the evidence supports that conclusion. Short one today, Next up is the Self Serving bias.
Recently there was a series of articles published in the Washington Post and New York Times about the Internet Research Agency or IRA. Both articles covered a recent congressional reports from Oxford’s Computational Propaganda Project. These guys are doing great work and it’s worth spending some time at their site. The reports mentioned in these articles… Read More The Red Scare