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Education Through Experience

Tag: heuristics

Bias Study: Declinism

This is the 13th post in the Bias Study Declinism is the belief that a society or institution is tending towards decline. Particularly, it is the predisposition, possibly due to cognitive bias, such as rosy retrospection, to view the past more favorably and future negatively. I can honestly say that this is something I struggle… Read More Bias Study: Declinism

January 2, 2019 davehallengactualLeave a comment

Analytic Technique: Matrices

Fun with Spreadsheets–said almost no one ever. If by chance you are a nerd like me who likes this kind of thing lets dive in. A matrix-think spreadsheet-is a grid with as many cells as required to sort data and gain insight. Matrices are helpful when there are more options or more intricate data than… Read More Analytic Technique: Matrices

January 1, 2019December 31, 2018 davehallengactualLeave a comment

Analytic Technique: Sorting

Sorting when the British use the term sorting, they talk about fixing something. e.g. “I’ll sort your out.” Or “I’ll get it sorted”. If you are an American, when you hear the term Sorting, you probably have visions of cleaning your room. Or perhaps more specifically, trying to find that one Lego piece you need… Read More Analytic Technique: Sorting

December 31, 2018December 20, 2018 davehallengactual1 Comment

Bias Study: Group Think

This is a continuation of the Bias Study Groupthink is the practice of thinking or making decisions as a group in a way that discourages creativity or individual responsibility. Anyone who has worked in a medium to large organization has experienced this. Usually this is evidenced by an Illusion of invulnerability, a belief that the… Read More Bias Study: Group Think

December 26, 2018December 19, 2018 davehallengactual1 Comment

Bias Study: The Backfire Effect

If you search for this on Wikipedia, you’ll get re-directed to Confirmation bias. However the Backfire effect is the name for the effect when a person finds contradicting evidence and that makes them cling harder to the original belief. We’ve all seen this in people. I’d argue that you could employ a structured analytic technique… Read More Bias Study: The Backfire Effect

December 21, 2018December 18, 2018 davehallengactual1 Comment

Bias Study: Belief

This is the next article in the bias study. The Belief Bias is the tendency to judge the strength of arguments based on the plausibility of their conclusion, rather than how strongly the evidence supports that conclusion. Short one today, Next up is the Self Serving bias.

December 19, 2018December 18, 2018 davehallengactual2 Comments

Don’t Do It.

We are going to take a short brake from the Bias study to look at something slightly different. I was thinking what’s the point of being able to deal with all these mental traps, if you can’t express yourself correctly. Why learn all of this stuff if your words are just going to be twisted… Read More Don’t Do It.

December 14, 2018December 4, 2018 davehallengactualLeave a comment

The Decider

So I work in a business where the way you think has life or death consequences. What I mean by that is it requires the ability to identify bias, and limiting heuristics in my own thinking and in the thinking of others. This becomes important when you are attempting to find the absolute facts of… Read More The Decider

November 30, 2018November 30, 2018 davehallengactualLeave a comment

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